NovaScout methodology

NovaScout matches you against 340 municipalities in Guatemala. To keep the model honest about what we know, where, we split coverage into three data tiers. Each tier is matched and presented differently — never inflated beyond what the underlying data can support.

Tier 1 — Full data

Verified pricing, trends, and infrastructure signals

50 municipalities where we maintain current Q/m² pricing, year-over-year trends, infrastructure scores, road and POI data, and a full ROI projection. Match scores come from direct observations, not proxies.

Tier 2 — Partial data

Estimated pricing, verified CONRED and INE fundamentals

Municipalities where we have CONRED risk indicators and INE demographics but not current comparables. Pricing is estimated from the median of tier-1 peers in the same department, adjusted down for weaker infrastructure or urbanization and wrapped in a ±30% uncertainty envelope. The band is labeled as ESTIMATED, and a specialist verifies exact pricing in follow-up.

Tier 3 — Minimal data

Match on zone fundamentals, pricing in follow-up

Remote municipalities where we only have location and department-level risk data. The match is based on zone fundamentals — climate, hazard, regulatory — and the Budget Fit score is capped so the model cannot overclaim. Pricing context is delivered by a specialist in the first follow-up call.

Why this is more honest

Most property tools pretend every municipality has the same signal quality. We don't. Tier 1 gets the full playbook; tier 2 gets an estimated band anchored to verifiable department peers; tier 3 is surfaced only when its fundamentals match your profile, and we say so plainly. The ESTIMATE label, the uncertainty envelope, the cap on tier-3 Budget Fit, and the specialist hand-off are all there for the same reason: we'd rather show you an honest range than a confident number we can't back up.

NovaScout matches you against 340 municipalities. Tier coverage: 50 tier 1, the rest tier 2 or tier 3.