REAL ESTATE INTELLIGENCE · GUATEMALA & CENTRAL AMERICA

The evidence your investment committee will defend.

Parcela Nova builds tailored intelligence for Central America's most important real estate decisions. We combine ground-truth field verification with the world's most authoritative public datasets to deliver dashboards and memos your capital partners will recognize.

Coverage348 municipios
FormatIC memo · LP DDQ · DFI-grade
LanguagesEnglish · Español
ÍNDICE DE INTELIGENCIA
348 ZONAS
Q2 25Q3 25Q4 25Q1 26
Zona 10, Ciudad de Guatemala
+1.8%
95
Zona 14, Ciudad de Guatemala
+2.1%
93
Cayalá
+5.2%
89
Índice PN promedio
89/ 100
Zona top · Zona 10
Dashboard preview
Q1 2026
Ground-truth · verificado
THE PROBLEM

Capital doesn't commit without defensible data. Guatemala doesn't publish it.

There is no MLS. No public transaction database. The national cadastre covers 14.7% of territory — Guatemala City is not in it. Deals close on broker intuition, and foreign LPs reject memos that rely on it.

01 · NO PUBLIC TRANSACTIONS

The Registro General de la Propiedad records every transaction but responds only to per-property queries. No aggregate price history. No cap-rate benchmarks.

02 · NO CENTRALIZED PIPELINE

There is no national building-permit feed. Tracking what's being built requires monitoring MARN public notices, satellite imagery, and direct verification.

03 · NO STANDARDIZED DILIGENCE

Zoning, environmental risk, title, beneficial ownership, and DFI compliance are verified case by case. Nobody integrates them.

OUR APPROACH

Tailored intelligence. Not template reports.

01 · ALIGNED TO YOUR DECISION

Scoped to the specific question

Every engagement is structured around the decision you need to make — acquisition, feasibility, market entry, title diligence. We don't sell templates.

02 · DEFENSIBLE BY DESIGN

Disclosed methodology, traceable sources

Every metric is dated, sourced, and stress-tested. We publish the weights of our indices and the thresholds for every flag. Your IB team can audit us.

03 · FORMATTED FOR YOUR PARTNERS

IC memo, LP DDQ, DFI-grade

Deliverables are structured for the standards your counterparties use: investment committees, foreign LPs, IFC Performance Standards, IDB Invest ESRS.

SERVICES

Six engagements. Six decisions.

Each one is scaled and priced to your case. Prices are honest ranges; final scope is locked in the SOW.

An asset-level dashboard covering the four dimensions that determine value: legal, physical, market, and competitive pipeline. Built for developers evaluating a specific site before letter of intent.

What's included

Zoning and POT verification; Protected area and heritage overlay; Hazard profile (seismic, volcanic, flood, landslide); Building footprint and volumetric context from Google Open Buildings; Demographic catchment at 500m / 1km / 3km using INE 2018 microdata; Competitive pipeline within 3km via MARN public notices and satellite change detection; Deduplicated listings comp corridor; Title and encumbrance flags where applicable

Sources

RGP · RIC · Muniguate POT · INE Censo 2018 · MARN edictos · Sentinel-2 · Google Open Buildings · ThinkHazard · WRI Aqueduct · CONRED · INSIVUMEH · CONAP · INAB · CNPAG

Deliverable
Tailored interactive dashboard + 15-20 page IC-format PDF memo
Timeline
10-15 business days
From
From ,500 USD

Integrated feasibility model covering demand, product mix, pricing corridor, absorption, financial pro-forma, and sensitivity analysis. Built for developers defining product before financing.

What's included

Demand modeling by income segment using INE 2018 microdata; Unit mix optimization; Price corridor by type using deduplicated comps; Quarterly absorption forecast; Pro-forma with monthly IPMC construction-cost index; Sensitivity analysis on the 5 variables most impactful to IRR; Base/upside/downside with basic Monte Carlo; Yield-on-cost vs. stabilized cap rate

Sources

INE Censo 2018 · IPMC · SIB estadísticas mensuales · Banguat · comparables deduplicados · MARN edictos · Sentinel-2

Deliverable
Interactive financial model + market report + IC deck
Timeline
3-5 weeks
From
From ,500 USD

Market thesis, submarket deep dive, legal and regulatory briefing, shortlisted opportunities, and initial screening of local counterparties. Built for foreign investors and developers expanding geographically.

What's included

Macro thesis (GDP, inflation, rates, FX, remittances, demographics); Submarket deep dive with absorption, pricing, supply and pipeline; Regulatory briefing (foreign ownership, repatriation, CAFTA-DR, applicable BITs); 3-5 shortlisted opportunities with preliminary underwriting; Beneficial ownership and sanctions screening on suggested local partners; Stakeholder map and referral network (law firms, Big 4, banks)

Sources

INE · Banguat · SIB · US State ICS · IDB / IFC / CABEI reports · ICIJ Offshore Leaks · OFAC · Engel List · Organismo Judicial · MARN edictos · CEPAL

Deliverable
Country/market playbook + dashboard + vetted referral network with introductions
Timeline
6-10 weeks
From
From 2,000 USD

Chain of title, zoning verification, protected-area overlay, beneficial-owner and sanctions screening, and litigation alerts. Built for buyers closing on a specific asset and for foreign investors screening local partners.

What's included

20-year chain of title via RGP query; RIC status where applicable; POT zoning and permitted-use verification; Protected-area overlay (CONAP, INAB, CNPAG heritage); Beneficial-owner screen against ICIJ Offshore Leaks, Panama Papers, Paradise Papers, Pandora Papers; Sanctions screen against OFAC SDN, US State Engel List, EU list; Organismo Judicial litigation search; Risk and mitigant matrix

Sources

RGP · RIC · Muniguate POT · CONAP · INAB · CNPAG · ICIJ Offshore Leaks · OFAC SDN · US State Engel List · Organismo Judicial · Diario de Centroamérica

Deliverable
Structured diligence memo + red-flag report
Timeline
5-10 business days
From
From ,500 USD

Pipeline project tracking based on MARN public notices, satellite construction-change monitoring, and competitive project map. Built for developers and investors monitoring specific submarkets.

What's included

Daily MARN public notices scrape filtered to client criteria; Construction-change detection using Sentinel-2 time series over client-defined polygons; Competitive project map with developer profiles, timing, unit counts, typologies; New EIA filing alerts; Tailored cadence (weekly, biweekly, monthly)

Sources

MARN edictos públicos · Sentinel-2 · Sentinel-1 SAR · Google Open Buildings · CGC Boletín Económico · OpenStreetMap changes

Deliverable
Pipeline dashboard + periodic updates + email alerts
Timeline
2-4 weeks initial build, then ongoing
From
From ,500 USD setup + tailored cadence

Asset-level hazard scoring, concentration analysis, regulatory exposure, and ESG alignment. Built for family offices, funds, and developers with multiple assets.

What's included

Per-asset hazard scoring (seismic, volcanic, fluvial and pluvial flood, landslide, water stress 2030 and 2050); Geographic and asset-class concentration; Regulatory exposure (pending protected-area designations, POT changes); Counterparty flags by beneficial owner; IFC Performance Standards and TCFD alignment; Executive report ready for LPs

Sources

ThinkHazard · WRI Aqueduct 4.0 · GloFAS · INSIVUMEH · CONRED · NASA FIRMS · URL/IARNA · CONAP · ICIJ · OFAC · Banguat · SIB

Deliverable
Portfolio dashboard + executive memo in LP-report format
Timeline
3-6 weeks
From
From $6,000 USD
DATA FOUNDATION

Proprietary ground truth. Institutional datasets. Tailored integration.

Every deliverable is built on a traceable foundation. We publish the source of every metric with timestamp.

01 · GUATEMALAN AUTHORITIES

Primary official sources

Registro General de la Propiedad · Registro de Información Catastral · Instituto Nacional de Estadística · INE 2018 Census microdata · Superintendencia de Administración Tributaria · Municipalidad de Guatemala POT · MARN public notices · CONRED hazard map · INSIVUMEH seismic and volcanic bulletins · Superintendencia de Bancos monthly statistics · Banco de Guatemala · CONAP protected areas · INAB forest zones · CNPAG heritage · IPMC construction materials index · Organismo Judicial · Diario de Centroamérica

02 · GLOBAL INSTITUTIONAL

Authoritative datasets for DFI due diligence

World Bank ThinkHazard! · WRI Aqueduct 4.0 · GloFAS global flood alert system · NASA VIIRS Black Marble night lights · ESA Copernicus Sentinel-2 · Sentinel-1 SAR · Google Open Buildings v3 · Google Open Buildings 2.5D Temporal · NASA FIRMS fire detection · OpenStreetMap · US State Department Investment Climate Statement · IDB Invest · IFC Performance Standards · CABEI publications · ICIJ Offshore Leaks · Panama Papers · Paradise Papers · Pandora Papers · OFAC SDN list · US State Engel List · URL/IARNA Universidad Rafael Landívar · Observatorio de Derechos de Propiedad

03 · PARCELA NOVA PROPRIETARY

Ground truth and proprietary methodologies

Submarket field verification · Deduplicated listings index (photo-hash + geo + m²) · Developer pipeline tracker · Absorption Velocity™ · Submarket Price Corridor™ · Title Risk Score™ · Hazard Exposure Index™ · Verified notary and broker network

PROPRIETARY METHODOLOGIES

What we measure, how we measure it, and why your IC can defend it.

Absorption Velocity™

INPUTSMARN pipeline + Sentinel change detection + listings comps + proxy deabsorption

Measures the rate at which a submarket absorbs new inventory, adjusted for product mix and macro cycle. Calibrated against 24-quarter history where data exists. Used to stress-test absorption in pro-formas and detect decelerating submarkets before the competition.

OUTPUTQuarterly index · 0-100 · confidence band

Submarket Price Corridor™

INPUTSDeduplicated listings · IPMC · INE microdata · Banguat

Price corridor per m² by product type in a defined submarket, adjusted for effectiveness (observed discounts, time on market) and normalized for characteristics. Replaces direct use of listing prices that overestimate the market by 8-15%.

OUTPUTLow-mid-high range per m² · adjustable time window

Title Risk Score™

INPUTSRGP chain · RIC status · protected-area overlay · associated litigation · BO screening

Composite 0-100 score capturing ownership and use risk. Components and weights are published in every deliverable memo. A score >30 activates recommended mitigants; >60 advises against transaction without additional structuring.

OUTPUTScore 0-100 · per-component flags · mitigants

Hazard Exposure Index™

INPUTSThinkHazard · Aqueduct 2030/2050 · GloFAS · INSIVUMEH seismic · CONRED · URL/IARNA

Integrated physical exposure per asset, projected to 2030 and 2050. Aligned to IFC Performance Standard 1 (assessment of impacts and risks) and TCFD physical risk. Directly translatable to DFI and LP questionnaires.

OUTPUTPer-hazard score · integrated rating · mitigation requirements
HOW WE WORK

From question to decision in four steps.

01

Diagnostic call

We map your decision to the right engagement in a 30-minute call. We tell you whether we can help or not.

02

Scope and SOW

We send a scope proposal with defined deliverables, timeline, and fixed price. No ambiguity.

03

Build

We assemble data, ground-truth in the field where it matters, and apply our methodology. Weekly updates.

04

Delivery

We walk the dashboard with you, deliver the IC-format memo, and cover questions for 30 days post-delivery.

WHO WE SERVE

Built for sophisticated capital.

01

INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPERS

Large vertical and horizontal developments

Validate feasibility with hard data before committing millions. Reduce development risk and increase financing certainty.

02

FAMILY OFFICES

Central America real estate allocations

Portfolio analysis, physical and political risk assessment, ESG and TCFD alignment.

03

FOREIGN INVESTORS

Diaspora, US, Mexican, Colombian, European capital

Navigate the market with legal, regulatory, and market context in English or Spanish. Enter with vetted partners.

04

DFI-BACKED PROJECTS

IFC, IDB Invest, CABEI, FMO, Proparco, DFC

Assemble the diligence package that passes ESRS and Performance Standards. Shorten approval cycles.

05

BANKS AND LENDERS

Mortgage and construction finance

Validate LTV, feasibility, and collateral risk with auditable independent diligence.

INVESTMENT

Engagements are priced by scope. Not by page count.

$1,500
Entry
$6–25K
Typical band
$35K+
Broad scope

Our six services span $1,500 to $35,000+ USD per engagement, depending on scope, geographic coverage, and methodological depth. Most institutional engagements land between $6,000 and $25,000. Final scope is locked in the SOW after the diagnostic call.

PROOF

Selected cases.

NDA · Under seal

Case studies available under NDA.

We cover them on the diagnostic call.

NEXT STEP

Your next decision deserves defensible evidence.

30 minutes. No commitment. We tell you whether we can help or not.

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What your committee tends to ask.

No. We don't broker transactions, we don't take success fees, we don't manage assets. Our only incentive is the accuracy of the next engagement.

It depends on the source. Sentinel satellite: 5-6 days. MARN notices: daily. INE Census: 2018 (most recent published). SIB statistics: monthly. IPMC: monthly. Explicit timestamp on every metric.

Yes, but Guatemala is our deepest coverage. For Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, and Costa Rica we can take market-entry and diligence engagements. For other countries we activate partnerships.

Mutual NDA before any information exchange. Data infrastructure under direct control. Deliverables watermarked and uniquely ID'd.

Yes, for data preprocessing, listings deduplication, satellite imagery analysis, and writing assistance. All conclusions and recommendations go through human review by the Parcela Nova team. AI accelerates, it does not decide.

The team is introduced on the diagnostic call.

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